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Earthquakes—A Sign of the End?The Watchtower—1983 | May 15
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Jesus prophesied that “the conclusion of the system of things” would be marked by “earthquakes in one place after another,” and, according to Luke’s account, “great earthquakes.” (Matthew 24:3, 7; Luke 21:11) Has the generation that was living in 1914, and of which there are still many survivors, witnessed these things? The facts answer, Yes! (See Chart II.) And earthquakes are still being witnessed not only by remaining ones of that generation but by the largest number of people in history. (Matthew 24:34) Mankind today is also more aware of the global activity of earthquakes and their effects than were people in any past century.
What is it that would make an earthquake “great”? Its intensity, or magnitude, as measured by the Mercalli or Richter scale? Or, rather, would it not be its notoriety and the amount of destruction it caused? As the accompanying Chart III indicates, loss of human life due to earthquakes has mushroomed since 1914. And some of them with the greatest magnitude have been deep within oceans, known only to a few, with little if any effect on human property or life. In determining the modern fulfillment of Jesus’ prophecy, we should focus not merely on the magnitude of quakes according to the Richter or other such scale but on the extent of resultant property damage and loss of human life.
Clearly Part of “the Sign”
Europe magazine of July–August 1980 states: “In this century, earthquakes have cost the lives of some 1,600,000 people, with 120,000 dead in Europe alone.” So when we view the world scene and compare it with Jesus’ words we can agree that “earthquakes in one place after another” and even “great earthquakes” have been taking place. Has any single generation of the past experienced such grim destruction by earthquakes as that afflicting mankind since 1914? Statistics indicate none.
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Earthquakes—A Sign of the End?The Watchtower—1983 | May 15
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[Chart on page 6]
Chart I
Some Earthquakes Between 33-70 C.E.
YEAR LOCATION
33 Jerusalem
33 Jerusalem
c. 46 Crete
c. 50 Philippi
51 Rome
53 Apam æa
60 Laodicea
63 Pompeii
c. 67 Jerusalem
[Chart on page 7]
Chart II
Some Major Earthquakes Between 1914 and 1982
(Incomplete list)
YEAR LOCATION DEATHS
1915 Avezzano, Italy 29,970
1920 Kansu, China 200,000
1923 Kanto, Japan 142,800
1932 Kansu, China 70,000
1934 Bihar-Nepal, India 10,700
1935 Quetta, Pakistan 60,000
1939 Chillan, Chile 30,000
1939 Erzincan, Turkey 30,000
1950 Assam, India 20,000
1960 Agadir, Morocco 12,000
1962 Northwestern Iran 12,230
1968 Northeastern Iran 11,500
1970 Northern Peru 66,700
1972 Managua, Nicaragua 10,000
1976 Guatemala City, Guatemala 23,000
1976 Tangshan, China 800,000
1978 Northeastern Iran 25,000
Other major earthquakes were recorded in some 33 places
[Chart on page 7]
Chart III
Earthquake Deaths
(Estimation based on 1,122 years)
Up to 1914—1,800 a year
Since 1914—25,300 a year
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